Dry air ahead and behind yesterday’s tropical wave depleted the chance for showers/thunderstorm activity. Visibility gradually reduced last night and moderate haze remained across our area today (20 - 80 µg/m3).
A weak low-mid level trough system should cross the region tonight with a few scattered showers. The next tropical waves are moving along with dry mid to upper levels, limiting cloud build-ups/shower activity. Occasional showers are anticipated on Thursday behind the wave axis.
The Atlantic High Pressure System should rebuild across the island chain by Friday, with low level cloud patches moving within the wind-flow bringing passing showers and alternating with dust concentrations of varying intensity.
Surface winds are expected to be moderate to occasionally fresh (20 - 40 km/h) overnight from the north north-east. A reduction in wind speeds should be noticeable by Wednesday afternoon before returning to fresh and veering south-easterly on Thursday. North-easterly trades associated with the Atlantic High Pressure can be expected by late Thursday.
Sea conditions are currently slight to moderate, with easterly swells ranging peaking near 1.5 m on the west coasts and up to 2.2 m on the east coasts.
Barometric readings should range 1013mb - 1015mb and occasionally top at 1017mb over the next few days
Tropical waves between west coast Africa and Lesser Antilles:
Along 24W from 02N-19N with scattered moderate convection east of the wave from 07N-10N.…2220miles away…vicinity Sunday 28th
Along 45W from 02N-22N, moving west at 10-15 kt with scattered showers from 08N-10N between 40W-50W.…960miles away…trailing axis vicinity Thursday 25th
Along 53W from 02N-19N, moving west at 10-15 kt and embedded within the middle of a strong outbreak of Saharan dust, therefore no convection is present at this time...…480miles away…vicinity Wednesday 24th